September 15 Primaries Predictions & Odds· 188 markets

S
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

80%

October 31

$1.3m Vol.
$135k Liq.
🔥$108k today
81
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

18%

December 31

$15.2m Vol.
$392k Liq.
🔥$86k today
274
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

95%

September 30

$31.4m Vol.
$357k Liq.
🔥$74k today
295
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

92%

September 29

$103k Vol.
$3k Liq.
🔥$53k today
Ends in 7 days
A
Anthropic IPO by __?

Anthropic IPO by __?

78%

December 31, 2026

$3.8m Vol.
$213k Liq.
50
Ends in 9 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

75%

October 31

$1.4m Vol.
$27k Liq.
13
Ends in about 1 month
G
Gemini 4.0 released by...?

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

92%

November 30

$594k Vol.
$23k Liq.
18
Ends in 2 months
W
When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?

60%

No return before November 1, 2026

$65k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

96%

No release by September 30

$139k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

7%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$50k Liq.
8
Ends in 7 days
R
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

89%

December 31

$266k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

98%

October 31

$716k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

93%

September 24

$548k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

31%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$375 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

99%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$51k Liq.
28
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

27%

October 31

$12k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?

95%

No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026

$40k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

96%

September 25

$108k Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
H
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

57%

October 31

$112k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ended
W
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

41%

October 31

$52k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month