Security Predictions & Odds· 3466 markets

U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

17%

December 31, 2028

$394 Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$267k Vol.
$15k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be said during the ninth episode of President Curtis: Season 1?

99%

Hell

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
W
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

50%

AI-chip export licensing

$167k Vol.
$69k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$330 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
N
Number of TSA passengers January 2?

2.5-2.75m

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

26%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
F
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

25%

Yes

$114 Vol.
$112 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

13%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$83k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Somali Pirates successfully seize a vessel by...?

33%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$67 Liq.
Ended
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

50%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$418 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia coup attempt in 2026?

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

5%

Yes

$133k Vol.
$34k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
T
Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by ___?

86%

June 30, 2027

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

3%

Yes

$445k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

22%

OpenAI

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran coup attempt by...?

Iran coup attempt by...?

8%

Yes

$2.1m Vol.
$31k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine coup attempt by...?

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

6%

Yes

$170k Vol.
$24k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
S
SPY Opens Up or Down on September 21?

43%

Up

$0 Vol.
$18 Liq.
Ends in 1 day