Secretary Of Treasury Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

7%

Yes

$247 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

17%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

63%

None before 2027

$83k Vol.
$243k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

6%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by ___?

28%

December 31, 2027

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
H
Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?

64%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

0%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

3%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

19%

Yes

$25k Vol.
$824 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

22%

Yes

$476k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?

14%

Yes

$270 Vol.
$108 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$124k Vol.
$228k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

22%

4

$10k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

4%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$23k Liq.
3
Ends in 6 months
W
Who will Trump fire in first 100 days?

Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador)

$3.2m Vol.
$6k Liq.
19
Ended
W
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Pete Hegseth

$23.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,045
Ended
W
Who will Trump pick for Treasury Secretary?

Scott Bessent

$6.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
T
Trump wins and picks Dimon for Treasury Secretary?

No

$95k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
M
Major US official out by May 31?

Yes

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
Major US official out by April 30?

No

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended