Sam Altman Predictions & Odds· 228 markets

S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

4%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

99%

Elon Musk

$18k Vol.
$90k Liq.
1
Ends in 15 days
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

28%

Zohran Mamdani

$66k Vol.
$569k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
W
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

7%

Sundar Pichai - Google

$715k Vol.
$6k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

61%

Texas

$5k Vol.
$423 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
O
OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

4%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

All · sam altman

Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

No

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

All · sam altman

Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

No

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will Sam Altman tweet by Sunday?

All · social media

Will Sam Altman tweet by Sunday?

Yes

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
W
Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31?

Yes

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?

All · sam altman

Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?

No

$59k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister?

All · sam altman

Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister?

No

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
S
Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30?

All · sam altman

Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30?

No

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?

All · sam altman

Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?

No

$25k Vol.
$2 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue?

All · sam altman

Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue?

No

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

No

$65k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

Yes

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
W
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

No

$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
69
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Sam Altman say on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Polymarket / Bet

$480k Vol.
$0 Liq.
168
Ended
W
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

No

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended