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Safe Superintelligence Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W

Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?

Z.ai

$785k Vol.

$0 Liq.

4

Ends in 3 months

O

OpenAI’s Astra Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+

$54k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

N

Next Mythos-Class Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+

$24k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

C

ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?

No

$4k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

C

Tech·sam altman

ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?

Yes

$21k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

C

ChatGPT Outage by May 1?

Yes

$6k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

N

Next Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

35%+

$29k Vol.

$0 Liq.

5

Ends in 3 months

C

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?

No

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

C

Tech·sam altman

ChatGPT Outage by February 28?

Yes

$58k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

N

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Yes

$169k Vol.

$0 Liq.

36

Ended

C

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Keyd vs BESTIA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs

$194 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

C

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

No

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

C

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs

Heroic

$84k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

C

ChatGPT Outage by...?

February 21

$135k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

C

ChatGPT Outage by...?

May 1

$10k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

C

ChatGPT Outage by...?

April 10

$277k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

C

ChatGPT Outage by...?

March 31

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

C

ChatGPT Outage by...?

April 24

$11k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

C

ChatGPT Outage by...?

April 3

$82k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

N

Next Claude Opus: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

35%+

$62k Vol.

$0 Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

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