Reform Uk Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

N
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

28%

March 31, 2027

$278k Vol.
$20k Liq.
24
Ends in 6 months
U
UK election called by...?

UK · pedophile

UK election called by...?

28%

June 30, 2027

$825k Vol.
$4k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?

34%

35-40%

$3k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
S
September Inflation UK - Annual

UK · CPI

September Inflation UK - Annual

59%

3.4-3.6%

$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?

32%

40-45%

$5k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
W
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

98%

-No Qualifying Event-

$28k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
What will be in the UK Budget?

What will be in the UK Budget?

55%

CGT increase

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

97%

Up

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory

50%

Another candidate wins

$3k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$946k Vol.
$245k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
H
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

72%

6

$32k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

89%

1-2%

$92k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 months
U
UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

40%

0.4–0.5%

$22k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
C
California Recall Election Reform Proposition

45%

Yes

$373 Vol.
$846 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$106k Vol.
$181k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
U
UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
U
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

54%

3.5–3.9%

$117k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
R
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

17%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$2k Liq.
7
Ended
F
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on September 21?

FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on September 21?

90%

Up

$0 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
A
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?

Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?

6%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months