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Rate Cut Predictions & Odds· 168 markets

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P
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?

Economy·Global Rates

People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?

No

$120k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Economy·Fed Rates

Fed rate cut by...?

October meeting

$1.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
E
ECB rate cut in 2025?

Economy·Fed Rates

ECB rate cut in 2025?

No

$327k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
B
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?

Economy·UK

Bank of England rate cut in 2025?

Yes

$86k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Finance·Fed Rates

Fed rate cut by...?

September 18

$31.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
267
Ended
F
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?

Economy·Business

Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?

No

$836k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
F
Fed rate cut by June meeting?

Economy·Fed Rates

Fed rate cut by June meeting?

No

$344k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
F
Fed emergency rate cut in August?

Economy·Fed Rates

Fed emergency rate cut in August?

No

$432k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Economy·Fed Rates

Fed rate cut by...?

September meeting

$1.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended
F
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

Economy·Business

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

No

$1.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
B
Bank of England rate cut in March meeting?

Politics·Economic Policy

Bank of England rate cut in March meeting?

No

$45k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bank of England rate cut in September meeting?

Economy·Business

Bank of England rate cut in September meeting?

No

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
B
Bank of Japan emergency rate cut in August?

Economy·Business

Bank of Japan emergency rate cut in August?

No

$145k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
B
Bank of England rate cut in May meeting?

Economy·Economic Policy

Bank of England rate cut in May meeting?

Yes

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2025?

Economy·Fed Rates

How many Fed rate cuts in 2025?

3 (75 bps)

$31.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
86
Ended
W
What will Trump say during Kevin Warsh's Swearing-In?

Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during Kevin Warsh's Swearing-In?

Inflation 5+ times

$46k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended
W
What will Bank of America say during their next earnings call?

Finance·Earnings Calls

What will Bank of America say during their next earnings call?

Rate Cut

$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Mentions · Economy

What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Employment / Unemployment 15+ times

$221k Vol.
$0 Liq.
72
Ended
W
What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22?

Mentions·Economic Policy

What will Powell say during his speech at Jackson Hole on August 22?

Inflation 50+ times

$275k Vol.
$0 Liq.
74
Ended
W
What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

Mentions·Fed

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

Rate / Cut

$178k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

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