Rate Cut Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

45%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m Vol.
$153k Liq.
31
Ends in 4 months
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

3%

Yes

$231k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
ECB rate cut in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

5%

Yes

$33k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

96%

0 (0 bps)

$53.1m Vol.
$4.2m Liq.
🔥$83k today
121
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

35%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$94k Vol.
$111k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

57%

No change

$55k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
B
Bank of Russia decision in December?

Bank of Russia decision in December?

36%

25 bps decrease

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in October

77%

No change

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

56%

No change

$164k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

69%

25 bps increase

$9k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

76%

↑ 4.25%

$1.8m Vol.
$241k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of England decision in November?

Bank of England decision in November?

71%

25 bps increase

$100k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
E
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

60%

25 bps increase

$15k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Korea decision in October?

Bank of Korea decision in October?

79%

No Change

$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of Korea decision in November?

Bank of Korea decision in November?

52%

25 bps hike

$23k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Bank of Brazil decision in December?

Bank of Brazil decision in December?

53%

No Change

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

9%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$221 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

55%

25 bps increase

$8.2m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$404k today
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

68%

25 bps increase

$1.1m Vol.
$650k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Israel Decision in October?

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

87%

No Change

$24k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month