Economic Policy Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

W
What will Tucker Carlson say at AmericaFest on December 18?

Trump 10+ times

$15k Vol.
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9
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E
Ecuador Presidential Election

Daniel Noboa (ADN)

$4.9m Vol.
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1,324
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N
November Inflation

November Inflation

2.7%

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21
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J
January Unemployment Rate

≤4.0%

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45
Ended
S
Sri Lanka Parliamentary Election

NPP

$84k Vol.
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16
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R
Romania Parliamentary Election

PSD

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742
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S
Spanish Election

All

Spanish Election

Will PP win a plurality?

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[Single Markets] Democratic Nominee 2024

Kamala Harris

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71
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G
Ghana Presidential Election

John Mahama

$348k Vol.
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43
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W
What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?

Bank / Asset 10+ times

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J
January Inflation - Annual

≥2.9%

$264k Vol.
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172
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M
Major US official out by May 31?

Yes

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M
Major US official out by April 30?

No

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E
Election called by...?

Wednesday, Nov 6

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2
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C
Croatia Presidential Election

Zoran Milanović

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139
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4
4th GOP Debate: Mention Markets

Trump said by every candidate

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8
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W
What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Mentions · Economy

What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Employment / Unemployment 15+ times

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72
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G
Ghana Legislative Election

NDC

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8
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3
3rd GOP Debate: Mention Markets

Trump said by every candidate

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31
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N
November Unemployment Rate

4.2%

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45
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