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Rate Cut Predictions & Odds· 182 markets

AllPoliticsCryptoBusinessFinanceTrumpFederal ReserveEconomy1Interest RatesFedSouth KoreaEconomicsBitcoinChinaUKUS PoliticsCrypto PricesUnited KingdomEuFed RatesTaxesEconomyEuropeFOMCParlaysJerome PowellRecurringEconomic PolicyPBCWorldUp Or Down15MBOE5MBOKGlobal RatesPbocReverse Repo RateKevin WarshFiscalCPI Release
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Finance·Jerome Powell

Fed rate cut by...?

45%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m Vol.
$153k Liq.
31
Ends in 4 months
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Finance·Business

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

3%

Yes

$231k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
ECB rate cut in 2026?

Economy·Global Rates

ECB rate cut in 2026?

5%

Yes

$33k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economy·Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

96%

0 (0 bps)

$53.1m Vol.
$4.2m Liq.
🔥$78k today
121
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

33%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$90k Vol.
$92k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Korea decision in October?

World·BOK

Bank of Korea decision in October?

79%

No Change

$12k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of Korea decision in November?

World·BOK

Bank of Korea decision in November?

51%

25 bps hike

$23k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

Politics·Taxes

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

9%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$221 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

Politics·Fiscal

Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

14%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$69 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

Economy·Taxes

Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

12%

Yes

$345 Vol.
$348 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Up

$74k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Down

$106k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
P
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?

Economy·Global Rates

People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?

No

$120k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Economy·Fed Rates

Fed rate cut by...?

October meeting

$1.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
E
ECB rate cut in 2025?

Economy·Fed Rates

ECB rate cut in 2025?

No

$327k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
B
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?

Economy·UK

Bank of England rate cut in 2025?

Yes

$86k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Finance·Fed Rates

Fed rate cut by...?

September 18

$31.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
267
Ended
F
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?

Economy·Business

Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?

No

$836k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
F
Fed rate cut by June meeting?

Economy·Fed Rates

Fed rate cut by June meeting?

No

$344k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
F
Fed emergency rate cut in August?

Economy·Fed Rates

Fed emergency rate cut in August?

No

$432k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended

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