Fed Chair Predictions & Odds· 161 markets

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Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

$617.3m Vol.
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2,000
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Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

May 31

$356k Vol.
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20
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When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

May 15–22

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6
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Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

No

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1
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Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

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101
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Kevin Warsh formally nominated as Fed Chair by...?

March 31

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35
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Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

June 30

$1.4m Vol.
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14
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Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Thom Tillis

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How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

54

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Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

May 31

$6.5m Vol.
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253
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What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

January 30

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39
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Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

January 31, 2026

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35
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Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

No

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420
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Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?

No

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422
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Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?

No

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Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Trump · Trump Presidency

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

No announcement by December 31

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Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?

No

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422
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