Rate Cut Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

45%

June 2027 Meeting

$3.7m Vol.
$147k Liq.
31
Ends in 4 months
E
ECB rate cut in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

5%

Yes

$33k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

3%

Yes

$231k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

96%

0 (0 bps)

$53.1m Vol.
$4.0m Liq.
🔥$83k today
121
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

36%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$90k Vol.
$120k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Reserve Bank of India decision in October

Reserve Bank of India decision in October

70%

25 bps increase

$15k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
B
Bank of Canada Decision in October?

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

62%

No Change

$89k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

58%

No change

$52k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
B
Bank of Canada Decision in December?

Bank of Canada Decision in December?

54%

No Change

$14k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September

95%

25 bps increase

$87k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
B
Bank of Russia decision in December?

Bank of Russia decision in December?

36%

25 bps decrease

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in October

77%

No change

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

72%

No change

$49k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

55%

No change

$164k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

54%

No change

$52k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

71%

25 bps increase

$9k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

76%

↑ 4.25%

$1.8m Vol.
$246k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of England decision in November?

Bank of England decision in November?

71%

25 bps increase

$100k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
B
Bank of Korea decision in October?

Bank of Korea decision in October?

79%

No Change

$12k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

60%

25 bps increase

$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months