Proposals Predictions & Odds· 112 markets

W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$951k Vol.
$329k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

72%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
C
California Clinic Funding Proposition

26%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

12%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$338 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

44%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

26%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

68%

Yes

$834 Vol.
$155 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

47%

0

$143k Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

22%

December 31, 2027

$2k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

36%

Google

$63k Vol.
$62k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

3%

Neutrality initiative

$51k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$768 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

31%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$314 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition

50%

Yes

$754 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

66%

↑ $6

$847k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$24k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
C
Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?

35%

December 31, 2027

$3k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$796k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

49%

↑ 2000

$640k Vol.
$51k Liq.
14
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month