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Product Release Predictions & Odds· 286 markets

W

Tech·Apple Event

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

23%

Yes

$313k Vol.

$5k Liq.

39

Ends in 3 months

W

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

24%

December 31, 2026

$438k Vol.

$15k Liq.

46

Ends in 3 months

G

Grok 5 released by...?

47%

December 31

$15k Vol.

$3k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

W

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

11%

Yes

$126k Vol.

$7k Liq.

16

Ends in 3 months

G

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

33%

1.3%+

$52k Vol.

$4k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

C

Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)

54%

0.0 to 0.1%

$12k Vol.

$7k Liq.

Ends in 6 days

G

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

95%

November 30

$580k Vol.

$73k Liq.

18

Ends in 2 months

U

Ulta Q1 comparable sales growth?

48%

4%–5.5%

$7 Vol.

$74 Liq.

Ended

S

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

32%

3.0–3.4%

$51k Vol.

$8k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

A

Tech·Apple Event

Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

4%

Yes

$6k Vol.

$2k Liq.

6

Ends in 3 months

N

Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

47%

January 31

$0 Vol.

$126 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

B

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

52%

-0.3% to -0.1%

$18k Vol.

$2k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

K

Kimi K4 released by…?

51%

March 31, 2027

$19k Vol.

$4k Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

N

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?

82%

November 30

$956 Vol.

$1k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

M

Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?

26%

1.5-2.0%

$37k Vol.

$8k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

U

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

74%

≥3.0%

$41k Vol.

$10k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

C

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

35%

4.3-4.6%

$46k Vol.

$8k Liq.

Ends in 27 days

C

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

91%

4.0–5.0%

$911k Vol.

$91k Liq.

17

Ends in 4 months

N

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

2%

Yes

$33k Vol.

$352 Liq.

5

Ends in 4 months

W

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

14%

Yes

$81k Vol.

$1k Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

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