Macro Predictions & Odds· 167 markets

W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$108 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$18k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$349k Vol.
$414k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

97%

Xi Jinping

$151k Vol.
$114k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

81%

Mark Carney

$135k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

48%

Friedrich Merz

$545k Vol.
$28k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

79%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$51k Vol.
$852 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

49%

Zohran Mamdani

$71k Vol.
$311 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Trump say during the College Football Roundtable on March 6?

Million / Billion / Trillion 8+ times

$362 Vol.
$0 Liq.
50
Ended
W
Will Macron remain President of France through July 10?

Yes

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

No

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
Macron cocaine use confirmed?

No

$412k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
M
Macron resigns before August?

No

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
M
Macron impeached in 2024?

No

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
What will Trump say during Macron presser today?

US / United States 7+ times

$47k Vol.
$0 Liq.
44
Ended
E
Emmanuel & Brigitte Macron divorce in 2025?

No

$68k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
M
Macron out as president of France in 2024?

No

$206k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended
N
Next leader out of power in 2025?

World · Geopolitics

Next leader out of power in 2025?

None in 2025

$2.2m Vol.
$7k Liq.
17
Ended