Product Release Predictions & Odds· 129 markets

W
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

19%

Yes

$312k Vol.
$4k Liq.
39
Ends in 3 months
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

34%

December 31, 2026

$430k Vol.
$15k Liq.
46
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$324 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the next Muse model family be named?

What will the next Muse model family be named?

50%

Other

$20 Vol.
$336 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

25%

Earbuds/Headphones

$436k Vol.
$25k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

38%

December 31, 2027

$567k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?

28%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$331 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

94%

No release by September 30

$120k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
G
Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

31%

1.0-1.2%

$51k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
L
LAPTOP listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

LAPTOP listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

9%

Binance

$130k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

57%

December 31

$14k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)

Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)

56%

0.0 to 0.1%

$11k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

6%

Yes

$125k Vol.
$5k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

82%

October 31

$1.3m Vol.
$14k Liq.
13
Ends in about 1 month
M
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

89%

November 30

$49k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
A
Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

43%

$200M

$476k Vol.
$167k Liq.
14
Ends in over 1 year
G
GTA VI released by...?

GTA VI released by...?

93%

November 30

$150k Vol.
$90k Liq.
8
Ends in 2 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

34%

5.9%+

$12k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 24 days
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

96%

October 31

$707k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

38%

October 12–October 18

$67k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month