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S
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

Tech·FDA

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

83%

June 30, 2027?

$53k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?

64%

1440+

$4k Vol.
$825 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
H
How many Codex resets week of September 28?

Tech·AI

How many Codex resets week of September 28?

21%

4+

$0 Vol.
$685 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
F
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

Tech·FDA

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

67%

December 31, 2027

$150k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Tech·humanoid

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

10%

Yes

$129k Vol.
$4k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
K
Kimi K4 released by…?

Tech·AI

Kimi K4 released by…?

12%

March 31, 2027

$21k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
N
Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

Tech·AI

Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

46%

January 31

$0 Vol.
$144 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
U
US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 28?

Finance·forex

US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 28?

50%

Up

$4 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
U
US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 29?

Finance·forex

US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 29?

51%

Up

$0 Vol.
$3 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

Tech·sam altman

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

20%

Clip-on device for clothing

$438k Vol.
$27k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
A
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

Tech·Apple Event

Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

3%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
G
Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Economy·GDP

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

60%

1.0-1.2%

$57k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

Economy·GDP

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

41%

2.5–2.9%

$55k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
T
Tesla Roadster delivered by...?

Tech·Tesla

Tesla Roadster delivered by...?

36%

December 31, 2027

$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Tech·AI

Grok 5 released by...?

42%

December 31

$16k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Polo makes landfall in Mexico as a hurricane?

Weather·Mexico

Polo makes landfall in Mexico as a hurricane?

97%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$558 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
B
Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

Economy·GDP

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

34%

0.0% to 0.2%

$19k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
#
#2 Spotify song this week? (October 2)

Culture·song

#2 Spotify song this week? (October 2)

50%

Song 4

$8k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
U
US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Economy·GDP

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

70%

≥3.0%

$44k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Tech·Science

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

4%

Yes

$589k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

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