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S
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

Tech·FDA

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

87%

June 30, 2027?

$50k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?

73%

1440+

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

Tech·FDA

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

50%

December 31, 2027

$117k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many Codex resets week of September 21?

Tech·AI

How many Codex resets week of September 21?

57%

2

$1k Vol.
$561 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

44%

1450+

$26k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Tech·humanoid

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

12%

Yes

$126k Vol.
$4k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
K
Kimi K4 released by…?

Tech·AI

Kimi K4 released by…?

25%

March 31, 2027

$20k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
N
Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

Tech·AI

Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

47%

January 31

$0 Vol.
$124 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
U
US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 24?

Finance·forex

US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 24?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

Tech·sam altman

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

18%

Clip-on device for clothing

$437k Vol.
$28k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
A
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

Tech·Apple Event

Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

4%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
G
Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Economy·GDP

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

34%

1.3%+

$52k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

Economy·GDP

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

32%

3.0–3.4%

$52k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Tesla Roadster delivered by...?

Tech·Tesla

Tesla Roadster delivered by...?

35%

December 31, 2027

$4k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Tech·AI

Grok 5 released by...?

56%

December 31

$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

Economy·GDP

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

35%

0.0% to 0.2%

$19k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
U
US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Economy·GDP

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

74%

≥3.0%

$41k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Tech·Science

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

3%

Yes

$589k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?

Tech·AI

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?

82%

November 30

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
U
US recession by end of 2027?

Economy·Business

US recession by end of 2027?

35%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year

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