Police Predictions & Odds· 259 markets

L
League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?

66%

Yes

$377 Vol.
$228 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
J
Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?

33%

December 31

$881 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?

Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?

49%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$138 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
A
Abbas Araghchi arrested by September 28?

1%

Yes

$794 Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
M
Masoud Pezeshkian arrested by September 28?

1%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
P
Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?

Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Eric Swalwell arrested by September 30?

50%

Yes

$42 Vol.
$4 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
K
Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?

Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?

1%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
C
Clavicular arrested by...?

Clavicular arrested by...?

5%

September 30

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$302 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

20%

John Brennan

$450k Vol.
$426k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Phoebe Gates be arrested by September 30?

1%

Yes

$208 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

69%

Juan Reyes Mejía González

$177k Vol.
$652 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
D
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?

Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?

3%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$665 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
V
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

10%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$16k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
E
Evo Morales arrested by...?

Evo Morales arrested by...?

26%

Yes

$42k Vol.
$65 Liq.
20
Ends in 7 days
N
Netanyahu arrested by…?

Netanyahu arrested by…?

5%

December 31

$30k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?

8%

Yes

$57k Vol.
$9k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
F
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

14%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

7%

Yes

$549k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 3 months