Peace Deal Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

8%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

2%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

3%

Yes

$630k Vol.
$13k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

69%

December 31, 2027

$8.2m Vol.
$897k Liq.
232
Ends in 9 months
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

6%

December 31

$4.1m Vol.
$3k Liq.
979
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

2%

Yes

$70k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

8%

Yes

$829k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

9%

Lebanon

$1.7m Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

Yes

$533k Vol.
$2k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

70%

December 31

$1.0m Vol.
$46k Liq.
61
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

12%

December 31

$2.1m Vol.
$225k Liq.
39
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$1.2m Vol.
$196k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

11%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

19%

October 31

$62k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

3%

Yes

$151k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

5%

Yes

$662k Vol.
$954 Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

8%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$244 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?

40%

UAE

$11k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31?

4%

Yes

$84 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

16%

Yes

$320k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months