Peace Deal Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

9%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

1%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

3%

Yes

$629k Vol.
$11k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

73%

December 31, 2027

$8.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$78k today
216
Ends in 9 months
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

13%

December 31

$4.1m Vol.
$12k Liq.
979
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

7%

Yes

$825k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

9%

Kuwait

$1.7m Vol.
$159k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$38k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

70%

December 31

$814k Vol.
$144k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

17%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$259k Liq.
35
Ended
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$273k Liq.
🔥$62k today
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

8%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

27%

October 31

$48k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

4%

Yes

$150k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

5%

December 31

$662k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

7%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ended
I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?

1%

Yes

$74k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

10%

Yes

$308k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

13%

Yes

$260k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months