Peace Deal Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

10%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

2%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

5%

Yes

$622k Vol.
$22k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

71%

December 31, 2027

$7.8m Vol.
$858k Liq.
🔥$65k today
216
Ends in 9 months
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

18%

December 31

$4.1m Vol.
$11k Liq.
979
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

8%

Yes

$824k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

9%

Kuwait

$1.7m Vol.
$167k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

69%

December 31

$778k Vol.
$79k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$244k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

8%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

26%

October 31

$30k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

4%

Yes

$150k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

5%

December 31

$662k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

8%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ended
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

71%

March 31, 2027

$11.8m Vol.
$223k Liq.
🔥$85k today
Ends in 6 months
I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?

1%

Yes

$74k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

9%

Yes

$307k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

14%

Yes

$244k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months