Opengradient Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$225 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

$495 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

36%

$900B-$1.00T

$7k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

87%

$900B-$1.00T

$28k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

53%

Anthropic

$342 Vol.
$64 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

17%

December 31, 2026

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

20%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
W
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?

26%

↑$975B

$68k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
What will the next Muse model family be named?

What will the next Muse model family be named?

50%

Other

$20 Vol.
$416 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

48%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

26%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

56%

SpaceX

$12k Vol.
$257 Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit Week of September 21 2026?

79%

↑ $2.75

$9k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

37%

Google

$63k Vol.
$56k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
R
Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Geekay Esports (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group Stage

31%

Fnatic

$27 Vol.
$335 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

45%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

$800B

$1.5m Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

87%

↑$1.0T

$1.2m Vol.
$126k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

88%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

86%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month