Openai Predictions & Odds· 263 markets

W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

23%

December 31, 2026

$427k Vol.
$9k Liq.
44
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$238k Vol.
$51k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

96%

Anthropic

$384k Vol.
$60k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

20%

December 31, 2029

$50k Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
4
Ends in over 3 years
N
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

99%

November 30

$47k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

14%

Yes

$266k Vol.
$25k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

86%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

78%

55%+

$108k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

35%

December 31, 2026

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

87%

September 24

$7k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

96%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$2.3m Vol.
$139k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

12%

Yes

$79k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

66%

1.5T+

$335k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?

94%

November 30

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

3%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

57%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m Vol.
$88k Liq.
14
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

$800B

$1.5m Vol.
$21k Liq.
2
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

88%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

19%

Glasses

$435k Vol.
$23k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months