Openai Vs Elon Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

88%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

48%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
O
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

16%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

59%

OpenAI

$491 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

76%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$519 Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

50%

Anthropic

$342 Vol.
$50 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

20%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

56%

SpaceX

$12k Vol.
$187 Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$225 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

95%

Anthropic

$385k Vol.
$37k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
E
Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

2%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
O
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

gpt · OpenAI

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

70%

Yes

$28k Vol.
$727 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

3%

Yes

$312k Vol.
$4k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

86%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

14%

Yes

$266k Vol.
$24k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

4%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
G
GPT-7 released by...?

GPT-7 released by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$14k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?

97%

November 30

$11k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 months