Open Source Predictions & Odds· 79389 markets

U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

8%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$909 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

89%

November 30

$45k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
C
Counter-Strike: INFINITE Talent vs 95 Vikings (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: INFINITE Talent vs 95 Vikings (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group B

67%

INFINITE Talent

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
C
Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs Diamant Esports (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs Diamant Esports (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

55%

A Great Chaos

$0 Vol.
$398 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
C
Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

50%

A Great Chaos

$0 Vol.
$75 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

86%

↑$1.0T

$1.2m Vol.
$117k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above ___ end of September?

92%

$2.00

$420 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
C
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: aimclub vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

54%

aimclub

$39 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
O
Opendoor (OPEN) closes week of Sep 21 at ___?

89%

$2.00-$3.00

$184 Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
C
Counter-Strike: Diamant Esports vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Diamant Esports vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

33%

Diamant Esports

$5 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 21 above___?

91%

$1.00

$200 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

86%

Anthropic

$23k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

99%

November 30

$47k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
C
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Diamant Esports (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

52%

INFURITY Gaming

$0 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

88%

Anthropic

$62k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

77%

Anthropic

$23k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 21 - September 27?

27%

≤6

$1k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
H
Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026?

3%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$546 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on September 21?

Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on September 21?

54%

Up

$0 Vol.
$522 Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?

88%

Anthropic

$64k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 10 days