Nuclear Weapons Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

R
Russia nuclear test by...?

Russia nuclear test by...?

5%

December 31, 2026

$6.2m Vol.
$34k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. nuclear test by...?

U.S. nuclear test by...?

5%

December 31, 2026

$796k Vol.
$29k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

5%

Yes

$213k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$288k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

4%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$102k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

5%

December 31

$662k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

11%

December 31

$17.8m Vol.
$428k Liq.
🔥$66k today
156
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

8%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

5%

Yes

$262k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$334 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$5k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

13%

Yes

$569k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$792k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

19%

December 31

$6k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

14%

Yes

$7.4m Vol.
$40k Liq.
111
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

5%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$23k Liq.
1
Ends in 11 days
R
Russia military action against EU country by...?

18%

December 31

$25k Vol.
$69k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
U
US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

10%

Yes

$3.5m Vol.
$14k Liq.
168
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

99%

September 20

$101k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 11 days