Nobel Peace Prize Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

13%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.9m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$96k today
213
Ends in 6 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$1.1m Vol.
$274k Liq.
🔥$59k today
8
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

62%

December 31, 2027

$69k Vol.
$28k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

47%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

28%

Zohran Mamdani

$77k Vol.
$572k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

73%

Rigged

$4k Vol.
$179 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

96%

Tech

$8k Vol.
$325 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$297 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

36%

December 31, 2027

$575k Vol.
$5k Liq.
41
Ends in over 1 year
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

69%

December 31

$888k Vol.
$123k Liq.
🔥$76k today
45
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

48%

80-99

$385 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
L
Love Wins: 2026 Edition

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

56%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$173 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

76%

100-119

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

26%

100-119

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

76%

December 31, 2027

$325k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
U
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

11%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

28%

October 31

$49k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

70%

December 31, 2027

$294k Vol.
$32k Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$797k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

75%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$808 Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year