Nobel Peace Prize Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

14%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.9m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$68k today
212
Ends in 6 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$249k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

62%

December 31, 2027

$68k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

46%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$647 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

28%

Zohran Mamdani

$74k Vol.
$562k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

60%

Scam

$4k Vol.
$152 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

27%

NATO

$8k Vol.
$899 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$296 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

36%

December 31, 2027

$575k Vol.
$5k Liq.
39
Ends in over 1 year
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

68%

December 31

$882k Vol.
$136k Liq.
🔥$80k today
45
Ends in 3 months
W
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

37%

December 31, 2028

$14k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
M
M15 Monastir: Nazim Makhlouf vs Toby Martin

Tennis · Sports

M15 Monastir: Nazim Makhlouf vs Toby Martin

0%

Nazim Makhlouf

$5k Vol.
$99k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
L
Love Wins: 2026 Edition

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

52%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$176 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

78%

December 31, 2027

$317k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
U
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

9%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

74%

December 31, 2027

$289k Vol.
$22k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

28%

October 31

$48k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$797k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Ethena hit in September?

57%

↑ 0.24

$7k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

77%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year