No No Predictions & Odds· 5758 markets

K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

6%

December 31

$73.7m Vol.
$229k Liq.
518
Ends in 3 months
P
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

24%

December 31

$11k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$157k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
A
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$97k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 days
H
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$71k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
N
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by...?

18%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
M
MLB: Number of no-hitters thrown in 2026

MLB · Pitching

MLB: Number of no-hitters thrown in 2026

51%

2+

$2k Vol.
$520 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$198k Vol.
$22k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 days
H
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$208k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
G
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$55k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
C
Counter-Strike: No Surrender vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #3 Playoffs
$100 Vol.
$2 Liq.
Ended
F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

55%

25 bps increase

$9.4m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

77%

September 22

$287k Vol.
$69k Liq.
🔥$237k today
Ends in 9 days
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

54%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.3m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$179k today
451
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

39%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$528k Vol.
$713k Liq.
🔥$136k today
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

70%

25 bps increase

$1.2m Vol.
$533k Liq.
🔥$89k today
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

86%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.4m Vol.
$808k Liq.
🔥$57k today
Ends in 9 days
M
Maduro Prison Time?

Maduro Prison Time?

59%

No prison time

$823k Vol.
$68k Liq.
27
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

96%

0 (0 bps)

$53.2m Vol.
$3.7m Liq.
121
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

62%

2 (50 bps)

$588k Vol.
$102k Liq.
Ends in 3 months