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Mythos Predictions & Odds· 138 markets

C

Claude 6 released by...?

91%

December 31, 2027

$28k Vol.

$28k Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

N

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

92%

December 31

$29k Vol.

$6k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

N

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

34%

1470+

$47k Vol.

$13k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

N

Next Claude Opus released by...?

68%

December 31

$25 Vol.

$48 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

N

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

84%

1500+

$124k Vol.

$11k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

N

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$29k Vol.

$781 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

N

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

96%

December 31

$11k Vol.

$3k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

N

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

99%

December 31

$39k Vol.

$7k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

N

Next Mythos-Class Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+

$24k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

W

Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena)

Yes

$11k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 9 months

N

Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut?

1470+

$56k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

N

Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?

September 1

$53k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

C

Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…?

June 30

$345k Vol.

$0 Liq.

46

Ended

C

Tech·Anthropic

Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

1480+

$37k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

N

Tech·Anthropic

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

September 30

$1.6m Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

C

Tech·Anthropic

Claude Mythos released on…?

On or prior to June 9

$147k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

C

Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?

1520+

$338k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

W

Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by...?

April 30

$247k Vol.

$0 Liq.

46

Ended

C

Claude Mythos released by…?

June 15

$3.3m Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

C

Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?

July 1

$5.4m Vol.

$0 Liq.

535

Ended

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Popular Mythos Predictions

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

New Mythos Predictions

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?