Mythos Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

91%

December 31, 2027

$28k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
M
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

89%

November 30

$57k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

92%

December 31

$29k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

34%

1470+

$50k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
LoL: Myth Esports vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Myth Esports vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

$104k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

72%

$40+

$20 Vol.
$214 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

70%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$498 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

75%

↑ $25

$55 Vol.
$212 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

25%

October 10

$235 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 22 days
W
What will the next Muse model family be named?

50%

Other

$4k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

87%

1500+

$132k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

97%

50%+

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

96%

December 31

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

99%

December 31

$41k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
StarCraft II: Lambo vs Cure (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group Stage 2 - Group A

50%

Lambo

$0 Vol.
$4 Liq.
Ended
N
Next Mythos-Class Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena)

Yes

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut?

1470+

$56k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?

Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?

September 1

$53k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
C
Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…?

June 30

$345k Vol.
$0 Liq.
46
Ended