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Mythos Predictions & Odds· 137 markets

AllPoliticsTrumpAIAnthropicTechRecurringBig TechClaudeClaude 5Dario AmodeiRewards 200, 4.5, 20 DeprecCodingCyberDebutClaude MythosAnthropic IPOSonnetClaude OpusHaikuFableAI ReleasesAI BenchmarksAI RegulationFable 5.1
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Tech·AI

Claude 6 released by...?

91%

December 31, 2027

$27k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Tech·AI

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

92%

December 31

$28k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

37%

1470+

$43k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

80%

1500+

$106k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

97%

50%+

$27k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

95%

December 31

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

99%

December 31

$37k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Mythos-Class Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Mythos-Class Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena)

Tech·AI

Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena)

Yes

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut?

1470+

$56k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?

Tech·AI

Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?

September 1

$53k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
C
Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…?

Tech·Trump

Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…?

June 30

$345k Vol.
$0 Liq.
46
Ended
C
Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

Tech·Anthropic

Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

1480+

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

Tech·Anthropic

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

September 30

$1.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
C
Claude Mythos released on…?

Tech·Anthropic

Claude Mythos released on…?

On or prior to June 9

$147k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?

1520+

$338k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by...?

Tech·Trump

Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by...?

April 30

$247k Vol.
$0 Liq.
46
Ended
C
Claude Mythos released by…?

Tech·AI

Claude Mythos released by…?

June 15

$3.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?

Tech·AI

Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?

July 1

$5.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
535
Ended
C
Claude Fable 5 restored for International customers by…?

Tech·AI

Claude Fable 5 restored for International customers by…?

September 30

$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months

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Popular Mythos Predictions

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

New Mythos Predictions

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?