Military Invasion Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

W
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

7%

Yes

$578k Vol.
$47k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
U
US x Russia military clash by...?

4%

Yes

$1.8m Vol.
$18k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
W
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

1%

Yes

$255k Vol.
$28k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
N
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

5%

Yes

$483k Vol.
$15k Liq.
14
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

11%

December 31

$56k Vol.
$55k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

3%

Yes

$80k Vol.
$23k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran invades Kuwait by...?

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

8%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$24k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
W
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

3%

Yes

$447k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

6%

Yes

$278k Vol.
$22k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months
E
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by...?

Eritrea invades Ethiopia by...?

19%

December 31

$0 Vol.
$811 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

3%

Yes

$213k Vol.
$24k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
U
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

16%

Yes

$256k Vol.
$19k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
I
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

10%

December 31

$458k Vol.
$15k Liq.
24
Ends in 1 day
W
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

3%

Yes

$14.2m Vol.
$56k Liq.
1,176
Ends in 3 months
C
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

27%

Yes

$492k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

2%

Yes

$150k Vol.
$24k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

3%

Yes

$43.0m Vol.
$684k Liq.
73
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

12%

Yes

$446k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia military action against EU country by...?

Russia military action against EU country by...?

10%

December 31

$145k Vol.
$124k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

0%

Yes

$2.4m Vol.
$106k Liq.
Ends in 2 days