Mercury Prize Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

L
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury

Sports · Games

Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury

68%

Las Vegas Aces

$1k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
WNBA: 2026 Champion

WNBA · Basketball

WNBA: 2026 Champion

49%

Minnesota Lynx

$1.1m Vol.
$254k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

44%

December 31, 2028

$14k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
W
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

14%

December 31, 2027

$23k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

24%

December 31, 2028

$393k Vol.
$72k Liq.
13
Ends in over 2 years
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

49%

0

$147k Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$304k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

6%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$72 Vol.
$481 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$540 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

13%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.5m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$62k today
210
Ends in 6 months
F
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

16%

December 31, 2026

$15k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
G
Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner

Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner

64%

Ella Langley

$20k Vol.
$40k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
C
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

26%

Rune Eaters

$0 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
2
2026 World Chess Championship: Winner

Chess · FIDE

2026 World Chess Championship: Winner

72%

Javokhir Sindarov

$84k Vol.
$694k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
G
Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner

Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner

50%

Placeholder a - TBD Artist

$60k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$974k Vol.
$312k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
NASCAR: Race to Stop Suicide 200 Winner

Sports · Nascar

NASCAR: Race to Stop Suicide 200 Winner

37%

Brennan Poole

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
C
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest RED vs Marsborne (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs

5%

FlyQuest RED

$8k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
W
W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Liel Marlies Rothensteiner vs Mara Guth

Tennis · Sports

W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Liel Marlies Rothensteiner vs Mara Guth

20%

Liel Marlies Rothensteiner

$0 Vol.
$941 Liq.
Ends in 7 days