Macro Jobs Predictions & Odds· 153 markets

M
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Lorenzo Rocco vs Marco Dessi

Tennis · Sports

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Lorenzo Rocco vs Marco Dessi

17%

Lorenzo Rocco

$696 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$23k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$108 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

60%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.2m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
🔥$306k today
445
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$706.6m Vol.
$52.3m Liq.
🔥$103k today
438
Ends in about 2 years
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$707.3m Vol.
$60.4m Liq.
🔥$100k today
1,033
Ends in about 2 years
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

37%

Steve Witkoff

$836k Vol.
$302k Liq.
🔥$80k today
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$392k Vol.
$652k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

Sports · Goals

MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

60%

Lionel Messi

$950k Vol.
$74k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

28%

Hanna

$39k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
A
America's Got Talent S21: Winner

America's Got Talent S21: Winner

89%

Nene Royal

$37k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

92%

Delcy Rodríguez

$400k Vol.
$354k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

100%

Xi Jinping

$159k Vol.
$118k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

88%

Olivia Chow

$175k Vol.
$149k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

29%

Dan Scavino

$1.4m Vol.
$80k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

84%

Mark Carney

$138k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

90%

J.D. Vance

$84k Vol.
$397k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

33%

Zohran Mamdani

$55k Vol.
$513k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
W
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$11k Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

13%

Gavin Newsom

$1.1m Vol.
$783k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months