Kurdistan Regional Government Predictions & Odds· 121 markets

W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

85%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$172k Vol.
$25k Liq.
14
Ends in 4 months
H
How many Israeli elections before government formed?

57%

1

$53k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

69%

Yashar

$6k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

92%

Grüne

$17k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

61%

USR

$32k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

96%

SPD

$16k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

51%

AfD

$44k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

17%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$343k Vol.
$90k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$6k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

44%

Yes

$36k Vol.
$437 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

7%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

9%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

0%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

73%

Green Party

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
11
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

28%

S + MP

$30k Vol.
$25k Liq.
4
Ends in 10 months
W
Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

14%

USR + UDMR

$28k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

46%

National + ACT + NZF

$56k Vol.
$226k Liq.
8
Ends in over 1 year
2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

89%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$184k Vol.
$109k Liq.
41
Ends in 9 months
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

55%

Unusual Machines

$191k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months