Kurdistan Regional Government Predictions & Odds· 121 markets

W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

82%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$177k Vol.
$107k Liq.
15
Ends in 4 months
W
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

63%

Yashar

$7k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

57%

Yes

$36k Vol.
$441 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

49%

AfD

$44k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

96%

SPD

$17k Vol.
$60k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Israeli elections before government formed?

56%

1

$53k Vol.
$45k Liq.
8
Ends in 30 days
W
Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

91%

Grüne

$17k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

87%

UDMR

$33k Vol.
$29k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

73%

Green Party

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
11
Ends in over 1 year
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$343k Vol.
$115k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

17%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

7%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

9%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$6k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

0%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

24%

S

$32k Vol.
$190k Liq.
4
Ends in 10 months
W
Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

18%

PSD + PNL + USR

$29k Vol.
$199k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

45%

National + ACT + NZF

$56k Vol.
$308k Liq.
8
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

48%

Unusual Machines

$192k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
J
Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

70%

3.0%+

$32k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 4 months