Kurdistan Regional Government Predictions & Odds· 121 markets

W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

75%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$206k Vol.
$161k Liq.
27
Ended
H
How many Israeli elections before government formed?

61%

1

$54k Vol.
$92k Liq.
8
Ends in 28 days
W
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

53%

Yes

$37k Vol.
$657 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

60%

Yashar

$7k Vol.
$136k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

92%

Grüne

$17k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ended
W
Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

49%

AfD

$45k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ended
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$343k Vol.
$51k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
W
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

74%

UDMR

$34k Vol.
$26k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

9%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

97%

Grüne

$17k Vol.
$59k Liq.
1
Ended
W
Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

74%

Green Party

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

17%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

7%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$6k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

0%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

22%

S + MP + C

$38k Vol.
$274k Liq.
4
Ends in 10 months
W
Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

14%

PSD + PNL + UDMR

$29k Vol.
$227k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

46%

National + ACT + NZF

$56k Vol.
$334k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

61%

Unusual Machines

$193k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

91%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$186k Vol.
$129k Liq.
41
Ends in 2 months