July 4 Predictions & Odds· 9249 markets

G
Gemini 4.0 released by...?

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

92%

November 30

$556k Vol.
$32k Liq.
16
Ends in 2 months
C
Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)

Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)

56%

0.0 to 0.1%

$10k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

93%

September 30

$30.8m Vol.
$182k Liq.
🔥$333k today
292
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

5%

December 31

$662k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
U
Ulta Q1 comparable sales growth?

48%

4%–5.5%

$7 Vol.
$74 Liq.
Ended
H
Hanshin Tigers vs. Hiroshima Carp

Sports · Games

Hanshin Tigers vs. Hiroshima Carp

50%

Hanshin Tigers

$16 Vol.
$1 Liq.
Ended
L
LCS 2026 Summer Split: Team to Make Grand Finals

76%

Team Liquid

$1k Vol.
$113 Liq.
B
Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

50%

Party A

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
B
Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner

71%

SDA

$4k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
B
Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

70%

SNSD

$7k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
T
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

25%

December 31

$249k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

85%

October 31

$1.3m Vol.
$11k Liq.
13
Ends in about 1 month
E
Ethereum above ___ on July 4, 11PM ET?

1,680

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin above ___ on July 4, 11PM ET?

60,800

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin above ___ on July 4, 10PM ET?

61,000

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
E
Ethereum above ___ on July 4, 10PM ET?

1,700

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
E
Ethereum above ___ on July 4, 9PM ET?

1,700

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin above ___ on July 4, 9PM ET?

61,200

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
E
Ethereum above ___ on July 4, 8PM ET?

1,710

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin above ___ on July 4, 8PM ET?

61,200

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended