Jewish History Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

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Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

31%

AI-chip export licensing

$169k Vol.
$73k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?

91%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$147k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
I
Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

62%

Yashar

$326k Vol.
$124k Liq.
13
Ends in about 1 month
M
MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909 - More Markets

Sports · Games

MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909 - More Markets

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

52%

6-7

$8k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

42%

6-7%

$2k Vol.
$604 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

49%

7-8%

$361 Vol.
$579 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

14%

Yes

$100k Vol.
$467 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
I
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

52%

6-7

$3k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

28%

10-11

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

9%

Yes

$3.5m Vol.
$9k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

39%

6-7

$3k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

43%

6.5-7.5%

$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

37%

20-24

$204k Vol.
$77k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned?

37%

Yes

$48 Vol.
$202 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

38%

5-6%

$1k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 30

$31.4m Vol.
$324k Liq.
🔥$78k today
295
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: Joint List Effectively Banned?

Israel Election: Joint List Effectively Banned?

5%

Yes

$401 Vol.
$999 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

55%

<4

$6k Vol.
$19k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month