Jewish History Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

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Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

45%

Credit-card routing competition

$169k Vol.
$112k Liq.
1
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Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?

91%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
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What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$1.1m Vol.
$276k Liq.
8
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I
Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

47%

6-7%

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$2k Liq.
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I
Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

63%

7-8

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I
Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

62%

Yashar

$327k Vol.
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13
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MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909 - More Markets

Sports · Games

MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909 - More Markets

$23k Vol.
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Ended
I
Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

47%

6-7

$8k Vol.
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I
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

41%

6-7%

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$9k Liq.
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I
Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

42%

7-8%

$367 Vol.
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Ends in about 1 month
W
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

14%

Yes

$100k Vol.
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Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

53%

6-7

$3k Vol.
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I
Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

30%

<8

$2k Vol.
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I
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

9%

Yes

$3.5m Vol.
$9k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

36%

8-9

$3k Vol.
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I
Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

41%

6.5-7.5%

$1k Vol.
$10k Liq.
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S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 25?

99%

$740

$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
I
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

37%

20-24

$210k Vol.
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4
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I
Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

34%

4-5%

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

95%

September 30

$31.6m Vol.
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🔥$153k today
299
Ends in 3 months