Jerome Predictions & Odds· 124 markets

J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

20%

Yes

$447k Vol.
$3k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

7%

Yes

$444 Vol.
$444 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

3%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$30k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

2%

Yes

$319k Vol.
$3k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
2
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

96%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$421k Vol.
$430k Liq.
103
Ends in 7 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

77%

Mark Carney

$137k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

34%

Zohran Mamdani

$54k Vol.
$504k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
N
Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

55%

Jérôme Gagnon

$6k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

47%

Zohran Mamdani

$71k Vol.
$282 Liq.
Ended
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

70%

Olivier Faure

$5k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

89%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
S
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee

Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee

74%

Raphael Glucksmann

$51k Vol.
$122k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$24k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

31%

September 21

$37k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

43%

1470+

$32k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

10%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$310 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$942k Vol.
$264k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
R
Rennes: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Titouan Droguet

Tennis · Sports

Rennes: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Titouan Droguet

$370k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

72%

1500+

$81k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

11%

December 31

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months