Iranian Leadership Regime Predictions & Odds· 119 markets

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Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

0%

Yes

$2.9m Vol.
$208k Liq.
🔥$147k today
Ends in 1 day
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%

Yes

$26.4m Vol.
$710k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

74%

March 31

$33.5m Vol.
$500k Liq.
🔥$622k today
677
Ends in 3 months
K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

6%

December 31

$75.0m Vol.
$336k Liq.
🔥$118k today
519
Ends in 3 months
U
USD x Iranian rials End of December?

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

31%

2.5 - 3.0M

$56k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
USD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)

70%

2.5 to 2.8M

$56k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
F
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$190k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
U
USD x Iranian rials End of September?

USD x Iranian rials End of September?

98%

2.2M+

$98k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

6%

December 31

$29.5m Vol.
$124k Liq.
195
Ends in 3 months
G
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$55k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 1 day
A
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?

14%

October 31

$42k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?

98%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$199k Vol.
$26k Liq.
2
Ends in 1 day
H
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$209k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
H
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$72k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
A
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

0%

Yes

$98k Vol.
$14k Liq.
2
Ends in 1 day
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What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.2m Vol.
$176k Liq.
🔥$65k today
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

97%

Tesla

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

23%

June 30, 2027

$26.4m Vol.
$665k Liq.
1,089
Ends in 9 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

88%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.6m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
156
Ends in 3 months