Interactive Business Machines Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

72%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

9%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$691 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

87%

$900B-$1.00T

$28k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$158k Vol.
$293k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
ISM Services PMI - September 2026

ISM Services PMI - September 2026

28%

53.0 to 53.9

$16k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
I
ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

27%

54.0 to 54.9

$14k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

36%

$900B-$1.00T

$7k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?

97%

OpenAI

$53k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?

87%

Anthropic

$52k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)

96%

Anthropic

$108k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

25%

#3

$242k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?

88%

Anthropic

$64k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.7m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
Ends in 10 days
L
Largest private company end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$9k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

78%

Anthropic

$24k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Best AI model on September 21?

Best AI model on September 21?

97%

claude-fable-5.1-max

$33k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?

94%

Anthropic

$69k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?

27%

↑$975B

$66k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

23%

1470+

$33k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months