Interactive Business Machines 预测与赔率· 104 个市场

W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

72%

Anthropic

$1.3m 交易量
$1.0m 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

13%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$558 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

87%

$900B-$1.00T

$27k 交易量
$7k 流动性
10 天后结束
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$158k 交易量
$95k 流动性
3 个月后结束
I
ISM Services PMI - September 2026

ISM Services PMI - September 2026

28%

53.0 to 53.9

$16k 交易量
$10k 流动性
14 天后结束
I
ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

27%

54.0 to 54.9

$14k 交易量
$11k 流动性
10 天后结束
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

36%

$900B-$1.00T

$7k 交易量
$9k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?

97%

OpenAI

$53k 交易量
$15k 流动性
10 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?

87%

Anthropic

$52k 交易量
$39k 流动性
9 天后结束
W
Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)

97%

Anthropic

$108k 交易量
$49k 流动性
10 天后结束
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

25%

#3

$242k 交易量
$20k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?

88%

Anthropic

$64k 交易量
$31k 流动性
10 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.6m 交易量
$1.5m 流动性
10 天后结束
L
Largest private company end of September?

Largest private company end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$9k 交易量
$30k 流动性
11 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

78%

Anthropic

$24k 交易量
$34k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
B
Best AI model on September 21?

Best AI model on September 21?

95%

claude-fable-5.1-max

$32k 交易量
$6k 流动性
大约 20 小时后结束
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?

94%

Anthropic

$69k 交易量
$60k 流动性
10 天后结束
W
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?

28%

↑$975B

$66k 交易量
$23k 流动性
11 天后结束
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

23%

1470+

$33k 交易量
$16k 流动性
3 个月后结束