Insolvency Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

W
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

3%

Wells Fargo

$76k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
M
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

4%

Yes

$135k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$951k Vol.
$145k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

12%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$337 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$567k Vol.
$5k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will Procter & Gamble say during their next earnings call?

Quarter 10+ times

$32k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
First FTX bankruptcy payout?

2025 or later

$2.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
E
Euro Finals: How will the game end?

Euro 2024 · Sports

Euro Finals: How will the game end?

Spain wins in 90 min

$52k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Will Stanley Tang lose all his chips? - Million Dollar Game Day 4

Million Dollar Game · Poker warning

Will Stanley Tang lose all his chips? - Million Dollar Game Day 4

No

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
H
How Long will CZ's sentence be?

<6 months

$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
44
Ended
E
Euro Finals: Who will score?

Euro 2024 · Sports

Euro Finals: Who will score?

Harry Kane

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
O
OX.FUN insolvent before April?

Crypto

OX.FUN insolvent before April?

No

$36k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Will Kevin Spacey declare bankruptcy?

No

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bybit insolvent before April?

No

$480k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
W
Which banks will fail by June 30?

JPMorgan Chase

$591k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
#
# of Elon Musk tweets between April 26 and May 3?

Business · Twitter

# of Elon Musk tweets between April 26 and May 3?

60-79

$573k Vol.
$0 Liq.
34
Ended
B
Bybit insolvent in 2025?

Bybit insolvent in 2025?

No

$111k Vol.
$0 Liq.
27
Ended
W
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?

All

Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?

$190k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

$283k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
E
Euro 2024: Favorite fails to advance beyond group stage?

No

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended