Iceland European Union Referendum Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

4%

Yes

$49k Vol.
$16k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

62%

VAT federal decree

$12k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
G
Greenland snap election called by December 31?

11%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Estonia vs. Iceland

Sports · Games

Estonia vs. Iceland

61%

Iceland

$24 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

32%

Yes

$591 Vol.
$195 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iceland vs. Bulgaria

Sports · Games

Iceland vs. Bulgaria

72%

Iceland

$351 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

7%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

55%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

28%

Yes

$95 Vol.
$180 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$533k Vol.
$29k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
D
Denmark snap election called by December 31?

9%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

16%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$589 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
B
Berlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?

98%

30-34

$82k Vol.
$24k Liq.
3
Ended
I
Iceland EU referendum passes?

Iceland EU referendum passes?

No

$286k Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ends in 3 months
I
Iceland EU Referendum: Turnout

80–85%

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Iceland EU Referendum: Margin of Victory

No 3–6%

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Iceland Presidential Election Winner

Halla Tómasdóttir

$56k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
I
Iceland Legislative Election

Social Democrats (S)

$308k Vol.
$0 Liq.
139
Ended
W
Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?

Yes

$223k Vol.
$0 Liq.
97
Ended