Humanoid Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

4%

Yes

$124k Vol.
$6k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$180 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
L
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

59%

OpenAI

$491 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

28%

Google

$59k Vol.
$62k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic lab leak by...?

Anthropic lab leak by...?

11%

June 30, 2027

$23k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
L
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs
$700k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

27%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

47%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

88%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

96%

Anthropic

$384k Vol.
$51k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
D
Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?

Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?

5%

Yes

$11 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
L
LoL: Galions vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Galions vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

74%

Galions

$12k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

19%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
L
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B

55%

KT Rolster Challengers

$0 Vol.
$394 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
L
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B

91%

Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition

$2k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

15%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$355 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

92%

55%+

$110k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
In which month will Anthropic IPO?

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

48%

November 2026

$252k Vol.
$56k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

38%

$1.50-$1.75T

$4k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month