Hezbollah Predictions & Odds· 257 markets

W
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

10%

Yes

$3.1m Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

3%

Yes

$98k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
L
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

1%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$677k Vol.
$270k Liq.
14
Ends in about 1 month
N
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

9%

Yes

$945k Vol.
$17k Liq.
47
Ends in 3 months
I
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

2%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

2%

September 30

$14k Vol.
$34k Liq.
1
Ends in 8 days
I
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

5%

December 31

$8.5m Vol.
$104k Liq.
219
Ends in 3 months
I
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

9%

December 31

$458k Vol.
$13k Liq.
24
Ends in 8 days
I
Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

15%

October 31

$382k Vol.
$34k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

99%

September 22

$543k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$984k Vol.
$286k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
I
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

2%

Yes

$103k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

34%

October 31

$51k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

82%

October 31

$109 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Iran target Bahrain by...?

Will Iran target Bahrain by...?

25%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$238 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will Iran target Kuwait by...?

Will Iran target Kuwait by...?

20%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$155 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

28%

October 31

$7k Vol.
$717 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will Iran target Iraq by...?

Will Iran target Iraq by...?

33%

October 31

$10k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will Iran target Oman by...?

Will Iran target Oman by...?

27%

October 31

$42k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will Iran target Jordan by...?

Will Iran target Jordan by...?

40%

October 31

$7k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month