Government Predictions & Odds· 3818 markets

W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

83%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$129k Vol.
$98k Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months
W
Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

96%

Linke

$12k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

95%

SPD

$11k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

36%

Yes

$34k Vol.
$488 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$43k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

42%

AfD

$40k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

2%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Israeli elections before government formed?

64%

1

$43k Vol.
$73k Liq.
8
Ends in over 1 year
U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

8%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

73%

Green Party

$2k Vol.
$803 Liq.
11
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

34%

S + MP

$22k Vol.
$210k Liq.
3
Ends in 10 months
W
Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

13%

PSD

$28k Vol.
$175k Liq.
Ended
W
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

45%

National + ACT + NZF

$55k Vol.
$239k Liq.
8
Ends in over 1 year
2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

88%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$181k Vol.
$50k Liq.
41
Ends in 2 months
J
Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

66%

3.0%+

$31k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months