Geopolitics Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$974k Vol.
$316k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$796k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

3%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$311 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
C
China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

7%

Yes

$331k Vol.
$13k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

65%

8

$1.7m Vol.
$126k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$275k Liq.
35
Ended
E
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?

67%

December 31

$26k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
K
Khamenei # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

96%

<5

$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on September 23?

50%

$95

$0 Vol.
$2 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 25

$2.1m Vol.
$559k Liq.
🔥$235k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k Vol.
$353 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$572k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

54%

200+

$364 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

63%

↓ 0.0030

$193k Vol.
$32k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

5%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 8 days
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 23?

99%

$760

$1k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
W
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

39%

50

$23k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

2%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months