Geopolitics Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$982k Vol.
$179k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$796k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

50%

80-99

$265 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

2%

Yes

$24k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

50%

60-79

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

60%

80-99

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$307 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: September

82%

Nothing

$0 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
C
China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

7%

Yes

$331k Vol.
$13k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?

Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?

56%

September 26

$2k Vol.
$645 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

65%

8

$1.7m Vol.
$126k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$240k Liq.
35
Ended
E
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?

65%

December 31

$26k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
K
Khamenei # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

96%

<5

$1k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 25

$2.2m Vol.
$554k Liq.
🔥$296k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
K
Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

95%

<5

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k Vol.
$244 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$573k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

28%

Qatar

$82 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months