Geopolitics Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$974k Vol.
$315k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$796k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

47%

80-99

$259 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

3%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

51%

80-99

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

67%

80-99

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$309 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
C
China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

7%

Yes

$331k Vol.
$13k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 23?

99%

$760

$1k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

65%

8

$1.7m Vol.
$127k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
E
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?

67%

December 31

$26k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$276k Liq.
35
Ended
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 25

$2.1m Vol.
$539k Liq.
🔥$268k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

54%

200+

$364 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k Vol.
$351 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$572k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

64%

↓ 0.0030

$193k Vol.
$36k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

5%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$22k Liq.
1
Ends in 8 days
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

2%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months