Geopolitics Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$951k Vol.
$142k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$795k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

38%

60-79

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

2%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

87%

80-99

$6k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

50%

80-99

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

12%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$336 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
C
China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

7%

Yes

$331k Vol.
$13k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
E
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?

67%

December 31

$23k Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
K
Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

96%

<5

$2k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

65%

8

$1.7m Vol.
$149k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$244k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 25

$1.9m Vol.
$535k Liq.
🔥$212k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k Vol.
$400 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

36%

December 31, 2027

$567k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

56%

200+

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

4%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

64%

↓ 0.0030

$193k Vol.
$23k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
K
Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

98%

<5

$21k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours